Monday, February 12, 2007

Views of Giuliani put GOP to the test

Great read (here) on Giuliani which demonstrates the allure of someone like Reagan, who was less of a list of policy positions and more of a "positive," charismatic, confidence-inspiring leader. Reagan's success was rooted in his ability to assure a middling voter (all but the 25-30% of voters in each party) that he would keep the "main thing" the "main thing." And focus on this "main thing"--which is different for different voters and often cuts across party, class, race and religion, enables a candidate to assemble plurality support among different groups of people.

In one sense, this supports the "empty vessel" school of thought, which asserts that people are more comfortable with a candidate that they "perceive" is with them on all the issues that matter. Where I think Rudy is different than, say, Obama, is that Rudy is proven in the executive realm/role.

I think a near majority of voters (certainly more than most political junkies realize) fall into this "middling voter" category. And Conservative voters cannot effectively veto a less-Conservative candidate if their votes are spread among several candidates (see: TN senate race '06). You Libs better hope that the Conservative vote is split.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Giuliani is finished. He's just poisoned himself.

Sharon Cobb said...

"Rudy is different than, say, Obama..."
I couldn't agree more.
Obama doesn't cheat on his wife,(he's only had one not 3 like Rudy) and didn't try to move his mistress into his family home before he was even separated.
Yep. Rudy and Obama and very different.

ned said...

That fact certainly isn't insignificant to me and others . . . but we're judgmental, moralistic types, right?

ned said...

True anonymous, support for the GWOT will sure doom Giuliani in the Dem primary, d'oh, he's not running in the Dem primary!